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Red11
188021.4
33316.2
160111.5
Blue61
3953.9
33417.0
22653.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59220501001501161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
red by 4.4
334
#7
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 12.3
395
#10
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Third
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 8.2
2265
#16
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4