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Red17
286930.5
115521.7
99937.0
Blue89
99997.0
36910.1
873914.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72310501001502001789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 16.5
8739
#12
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Second
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 11.7
369
#4
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Third
9993
#13
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Level
9999
#15
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5