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Red59
964226.8
341929.6
99977.0
Blue30
188021.4
33316.2
160111.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665301001502005930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 8.2
1880
#18
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Second
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
red by 10.7
333
#8
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
9997
#17
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 4.5
1601
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4