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Red28
26316.9
362416.7
99989.1
Blue51
642326.3
573626.7
35340.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251140501001502002851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#5
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 23.1
353
#9
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Second
3624
#22
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End0.9
blue by 9.9
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Third
9998
#20
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 17.2
6423
#12
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody odds96%Melody odds
Ensemble
6%Ensemble odds29%Ensemble odds