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Red28
317121.6
263825.1
32923.8
Blue55
146831.8
35817.1
445827.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77850501001502855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 6.7
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End3.5
Second
329
#4
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
blue by 3.6
4458
#18
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
3171
#14
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 4.6
358
#10
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody odds87%Melody odds
Ensemble
32%Ensemble odds52%Ensemble odds