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Red60
28721.3
80613.5
802017.6
Blue25
286916.6
50997.6
155413.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424520305060706025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#30
21.31.0
17.118.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
red by 4.7
2869
#43
16.61.5
10.99.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End0.6
Second
8020
#15
17.61.1
13.614.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 4.6
1554
#36
13.01.5
12.711.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.8
End0.2
Third
806
#29
13.51.0
9.210.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 6.0
5099
#38
7.61.5
14.513.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed