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Red45
826720.9
395022.3
2814.0
Blue105
35334.5
642326.3
27114.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287002040608010012045105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#10
22.31.0
12.913.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 12.2
353
#3
34.52.5
29.231.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End2.4
Second
20.91.6
12.113.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End0.9
blue by 5.3
26.32.5
19.622.0
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
28
#34
14.01.6
5.67.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.8
blue by 0.4
271
#12
14.42.7
9.412.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned