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Red39
53315.0
35817.1
55998.9
Blue53
202714.8
555318.8
922011.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3738203050603953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#23
17.10.3
16.116.4
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 1.8
5553
#28
18.81.5
12.013.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Second
533
#47
15.00.3
11.411.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 0.3
2027
#39
14.81.5
9.010.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
5599
#45
8.90.5
7.07.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 2.5
9220
#26
11.41.5
12.313.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed