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Red61
287511.8
395022.3
53315.0
Blue47
18037.7
56416.1
859515.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35490204060801006147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#10
22.31.7
13.815.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
red by 6.2
564
#35
16.10.7
17.216.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
533
#47
15.01.7
11.713.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 0.1
8595
#25
15.00.7
13.012.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
2875
#19
11.81.7
7.79.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
red by 4.1
1803
#42
7.71.2
12.311.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned