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Red77
901626.3
32923.8
555318.8
Blue85
573626.7
28721.3
642326.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60740501001507785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
21.722.5
Auto12.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 0.4
5736
#21
26.70.3
24.924.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Second
329
#6
23.81.2
20.721.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
blue by 2.5
26.30.3
22.021.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
5553
#28
18.81.2
13.514.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 2.4
287
#30
21.30.3
18.117.8
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed