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Red44
96466.4
555318.8
216111.1
Blue77
28721.3
27114.4
287222.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335602040801001204477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5553
#28
18.80.7
15.816.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 3.6
2872
#24
22.41.3
18.019.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Second
2161
#32
11.10.7
7.98.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 10.2
287
#30
21.31.3
18.419.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Third
9646
#41
6.40.7
8.79.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 8.1
271
#12
14.41.3
11.612.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed