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Red63
680610.3
362416.7
87119.4
Blue49
56416.1
287511.8
802017.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414702060801006349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
#11
19.41.2
16.617.8
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 1.7
8020
#15
17.60.2
16.015.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
3624
#22
16.70.7
15.115.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 0.6
564
#35
16.10.2
16.816.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
6806
#20
10.30.7
5.96.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 1.5
2875
#19
11.80.2
9.08.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed