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Red56
45679.2
263822.6
28721.3
Blue38
55998.9
56416.1
87119.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001201405638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#14
22.60.5
21.321.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.6
red by 3.2
871
#11
19.40.4
17.817.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
287
#30
21.30.5
19.720.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
red by 5.2
564
#35
16.10.2
16.616.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
4567
#33
9.20.9
7.28.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 0.3
5599
#45
8.90.4
7.36.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed