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Red38
54511.0
922011.4
573626.7
Blue64
286916.6
216111.1
287511.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801001203864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#21
26.70.8
26.825.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
red by 10.1
2869
#43
16.61.8
13.014.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End0.6
Second
9220
#26
11.41.4
14.112.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 0.4
2875
#19
11.81.1
8.89.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
545
#37
11.01.4
9.78.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
Level
2161
#32
11.11.8
8.710.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned