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Red53
81024.4
802017.6
28721.3
Blue52
26316.9
32923.8
573626.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69772040601001201405352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#9
24.40.2
24.424.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 2.3
5736
#21
26.70.5
27.126.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Second
287
#30
21.30.2
21.321.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
blue by 2.5
329
#6
23.80.6
24.423.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
Third
8020
#15
17.60.2
17.717.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 0.8
263
#17
16.90.5
17.416.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5