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Red60
35817.1
146831.9
642326.3
Blue95
28721.3
802017.6
81024.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8866204060801001201406095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
32.431.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 7.6
810
#9
24.40.5
24.224.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Second
26.30.5
26.726.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 5.0
287
#30
21.30.5
21.121.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.3
End1.1
Third
358
#23
17.10.5
17.617.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
8020
#15
17.60.5
17.417.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1