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Red100
287511.8
901626.3
35334.5
Blue52
286916.6
27114.4
87119.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825320406010012010052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#3
34.50.2
33.833.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End2.4
red by 15.1
871
#11
19.40.2
19.719.5
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
26.30.2
25.625.8
Auto12.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 9.7
2869
#43
16.60.2
16.916.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End0.6
Third
2875
#19
11.80.2
11.111.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 2.7
271
#12
14.40.1
14.714.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5