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Red72
573626.7
32923.8
26316.9
Blue52
826720.9
362416.7
263822.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806540601007252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#21
26.70.2
27.727.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
red by 4.0
2638
#14
22.60.2
22.722.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.6
Second
329
#6
23.80.2
25.124.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
red by 2.9
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Third
263
#17
16.90.2
17.917.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 0.2
3624
#22
16.70.2
16.816.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End0.9