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Red21
727211.1
286920.9
40127.8
Blue51
457110.7
260133.0
54217.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355002060801001202151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#17
20.91.5
15.614.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
blue by 12.1
33.00.0
25.925.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Second
7272
#29
11.12.2
10.58.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End0.9
red by 0.4
4571
#31
10.70.0
7.87.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
4012
#34
7.82.2
7.65.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.2
red by 0.6
5421
#26
7.20.0
9.99.9
Auto0.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed