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Red31
234413.7
457110.7
76118.6
Blue35
37606.0
36911.4
412220.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29350204060803135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#16Sur
13.70.0
14.714.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End2.8
blue by 6.3
20.10.3
16.316.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Second
4571
#31
10.70.0
7.97.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 0.8
369
#30Sur
11.40.3
6.16.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
7611
#48
8.60.0
4.74.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 2.6
3760
#42
6.00.5
8.38.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed