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Qual 192024 New York City Regional
Red68
77308.9
179648.5
22656.8
Blue69
395025.8
70367.1
260133.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626240506070806869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#3
48.50.8
43.7→44.5
Auto21.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
red by 15.5
2601
#2Sur
33.00.8
25.9→26.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Second
7730
#13
8.90.8
7.8→8.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 16.8
3950
#7
25.80.8
22.5→23.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End0.9
Third
2265
#32
6.80.8
4.7→5.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 0.3
7036
#44
7.10.9
8.4→9.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed