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Red50
33316.2
3355.6
857028.9
Blue30
80615.8
54217.2
923314.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801001201401605030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.8
27.526.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.5
End1.7
red by 13.0
806
#10
15.80.1
13.113.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Second
333
#12
16.20.9
16.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 1.8
9233
#18
14.30.1
8.18.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
335
#23
5.61.3
7.76.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 1.5
5421
#26
7.20.1
9.99.8
Auto0.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed