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Red36
301712.7
687315.4
95096.9
Blue49
286920.9
94374.6
341929.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2759040801001201401603649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6873
#15
15.40.2
11.211.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End0.3
blue by 14.3
29.60.0
29.629.5
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
3017
#14
12.70.2
6.86.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
blue by 8.1
2869
#17
20.90.0
14.114.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
Third
9509
#45
6.90.2
10.09.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
red by 2.4
9437
#37
4.60.1
5.85.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed