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Red28
66487.5
160111.5
720111.9
Blue42
76683.6
964223.8
188017.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223404060801002842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7201
#20
11.90.2
7.27.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 11.9
23.80.8
14.315.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Second
1601
#22
11.50.1
6.36.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 5.5
1880
#21
17.10.9
13.514.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Third
6648
#47
7.50.1
7.67.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 3.9
7668
#36
3.60.8
1.72.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed