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Red67
923314.3
33316.2
286920.9
Blue44
160111.5
22656.8
37606.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45200103040506070806744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#17
20.91.6
14.115.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
red by 9.3
1601
#22
11.50.1
6.56.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Second
333
#12
16.21.6
15.717.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 9.3
2265
#32
6.80.1
5.55.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
9233
#18
14.32.7
8.010.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 8.3
3760
#42
6.00.1
8.88.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed