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Red7
188017.1
3355.6
92957.3
Blue17
28954.2
36911.4
95096.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230406080100717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#21
17.11.5
14.412.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 5.6
369
#30
11.40.3
6.46.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
9295
#33
7.32.6
9.26.6
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.8
red by 0.3
9509
#45
6.90.6
9.89.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Third
335
#23
5.62.6
6.43.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 1.4
2895
#27
4.20.6
5.95.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed