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Red84
964223.8
7437.1
260133.0
Blue45
341929.6
76683.6
70367.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5444020801001201408445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.02.4
26.829.2
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 3.4
29.60.1
29.529.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
23.82.4
15.117.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.6
End0.5
red by 16.7
7036
#44
7.10.1
9.39.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
743
#49
7.14.0
6.210.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End1.4
red by 3.5
7668
#36
3.60.1
2.62.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed