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Red24
42996.4
40127.8
234413.7
Blue47
720111.9
77308.9
580611.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253001020405060702447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#16
13.70.5
14.714.2
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 1.8
7201
#20
11.91.3
7.46.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Second
4012
#34
7.80.5
5.14.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 3.6
5806
#24
11.41.3
10.59.2
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End0.0
Third
4299
#38
6.40.5
3.73.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 2.5
7730
#13
8.90.8
8.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned