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Red29
188017.1
42996.4
33316.2
Blue25
873914.0
286920.9
3953.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353510203040502925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#21
17.10.4
12.912.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 3.8
2869
#17
20.90.3
15.715.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
Second
333
#12
16.20.4
17.316.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 2.1
8739
#19
14.00.6
13.512.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
4299
#38
6.40.7
3.22.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 2.6
395
#43
3.90.3
0.90.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed