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Red77
36911.4
964223.8
687315.4
Blue41
96366.1
33417.0
76118.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412802060801007741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.8
17.519.3
Auto8.7
Teleop14.6
End0.5
red by 6.8
334
#25
17.00.9
14.115.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
6873
#15
15.43.1
11.714.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End0.3
red by 6.7
7611
#48
8.61.6
4.66.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
369
#30
11.41.8
6.17.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 5.4
9636
#39
6.11.6
8.19.7
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed