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Red79
160111.5
115526.0
395025.8
Blue5
301712.7
51236.1
30043.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62130204080100120795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.3
19.420.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 13.2
3017
#14
12.71.4
7.66.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
Second
25.81.3
24.025.2
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End0.9
red by 19.7
5123
#50
6.11.4
4.93.5
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
1601
#22
11.51.3
6.67.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 7.7
3004
#40
3.90.8
4.84.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed