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Red52
51236.1
395025.8
964223.8
Blue33
580611.4
33316.2
687315.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5544020801001201401605233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.3
25.225.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End0.9
red by 9.6
333
#12
16.20.9
16.916.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Second
23.80.3
19.319.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.6
End0.5
red by 8.4
6873
#15
15.41.4
14.813.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Third
5123
#50
6.10.4
3.54.0
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 5.3
5806
#24
11.41.4
9.27.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed