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Red32
76118.6
115526.0
77308.9
Blue35
76683.6
80615.8
94374.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4224060801001201403235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
20.720.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 10.1
806
#10
15.80.1
13.813.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Second
7730
#13
8.90.2
8.88.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
red by 4.3
9437
#37
4.60.1
6.26.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End-0.0
Third
7611
#48
8.60.4
6.25.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 5.0
7668
#36
3.60.1
3.73.8
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned