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Red30
659010.8
3953.9
7437.1
Blue39
3355.6
36911.4
727211.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212801040506070803039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6590
#35
10.81.2
11.012.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
blue by 0.7
369
#30
11.40.5
7.98.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
743
#49
7.11.2
8.19.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End1.4
blue by 3.9
7272
#29
11.10.9
11.712.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
395
#43
3.90.7
0.51.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 1.8
335
#23
5.60.9
4.75.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed