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Red50
457110.7
720111.9
22656.8
Blue4
70367.1
6406.7
28954.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22310406080100120504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7201
#20
11.91.4
7.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 4.8
7036
#44
7.11.5
9.47.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Second
4571
#31
10.70.8
8.29.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 3.9
640
#46
6.72.6
10.88.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Third
2265
#32
6.80.8
5.66.4
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 2.6
2895
#27
4.22.6
7.04.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed