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Red76
720111.9
80615.8
286920.9
Blue28
30531.8
35414.3
36911.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4424060801007628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#17
20.92.2
15.217.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
red by 6.5
354
#11
14.30.2
13.914.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Second
806
#10
15.82.2
13.916.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.2
red by 4.4
369
#30
11.40.2
8.48.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
7201
#20
11.93.7
8.312.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 10.1
3053
#51
1.80.4
2.02.4
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed