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Red74
260133.0
301712.7
3953.9
Blue47
234413.7
873914.0
33417.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454630405060707447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.5
31.232.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 16.0
334
#25
17.00.0
15.115.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
3017
#14
12.72.5
8.611.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
blue by 1.3
8739
#19
14.00.1
13.213.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
395
#43
3.91.5
1.22.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 9.9
2344
#16
13.70.1
12.412.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed