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Red13
2811.2
6406.7
54217.2
Blue57
77308.9
341929.6
51236.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060801357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
#41
11.20.9
11.210.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
blue by 18.4
29.61.0
28.929.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
Second
5421
#26
7.21.5
7.66.1
Auto0.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 1.8
7730
#13
8.91.0
7.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
640
#46
6.71.5
8.57.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.0
red by 0.7
5123
#50
6.11.6
3.75.3
Auto0.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed