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Red62
234413.7
412220.1
160111.5
Blue41
687315.4
395025.8
80615.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426420801001206241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.4
18.119.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 5.7
25.81.0
25.724.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End0.9
Second
2344
#16
13.72.2
12.414.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End2.8
blue by 2.1
806
#10
15.81.0
16.215.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Third
1601
#22
11.51.4
10.311.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 3.8
6873
#15
15.41.5
13.712.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed