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Red40
76118.6
28954.2
286920.9
Blue63
40127.8
923314.3
115526.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450204060801004063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#17
20.90.9
17.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
blue by 5.1
26.01.4
22.123.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
7611
#48
8.61.4
6.17.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 5.7
9233
#18
14.32.1
12.414.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
2895
#27
4.21.4
3.04.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4012
#34
7.82.1
4.26.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed