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Red57
260133.0
727211.1
33417.0
Blue36
33316.2
720111.9
115526.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4749304060705736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.7
25.225.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 7.1
26.00.4
15.415.0
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
334
#25
17.01.0
11.512.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.5
End2.3
red by 0.9
333
#12
16.20.5
17.016.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
7272
#29
11.11.2
9.310.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 0.8
7201
#20
11.90.6
9.08.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed