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Red44
22656.8
36911.4
301712.7
Blue11
42996.4
37606.0
30531.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31150204060804411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3017
#14
12.71.4
11.212.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
red by 6.3
4299
#38DQ
6.40.4
6.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Second
369
#30
11.40.9
8.89.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 5.4
3760
#42
6.00.4
6.56.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Third
2265
#32
6.80.9
5.96.8
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 5.1
3053
#51
1.80.4
2.21.8
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed