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Red52
30043.9
77308.9
33316.2
Blue44
457110.7
66487.5
35414.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313410204050605244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#12
16.20.3
16.316.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 1.8
354
#11
14.30.6
13.814.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Second
7730
#13
8.90.3
8.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 1.7
4571
#31
10.70.6
9.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
3004
#40
3.90.3
3.63.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.0
blue by 3.7
6648
#47
7.50.6
6.97.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed