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Red28
234015.5
112619.4
63538.7
Blue66
87023.9
409311.5
574024.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385610203050607080902866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#17
19.41.1
16.515.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
blue by 4.9
5740
#15
24.40.9
18.419.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
2340
#24
15.51.5
11.49.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 8.5
870
#12
23.91.2
20.221.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.4
Third
6353
#52
8.71.5
8.36.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 2.8
4093
#38
11.51.2
9.710.9
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed