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Red63
552819.9
34026.4
19115.4
Blue54
150726.6
53312.6
69427.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535640506070806354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
26.41.1
20.821.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
blue by 0.9
694
#13
27.30.3
20.320.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Second
5528
#23
19.91.0
18.819.7
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End2.3
blue by 6.7
1507
#14
26.60.6
16.216.8
Auto11.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Third
191
#26
15.41.4
10.512.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6
red by 2.8
533
#33
12.60.6
12.312.8
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed