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Red84
2740.1
445827.4
859512.8
Blue53
222824.8
686820.1
33411.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7743020601001201408453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
40.10.4
34.034.4
Auto15.5
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 15.2
2228
#20
24.80.8
17.418.3
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End5.5
Second
27.40.4
21.121.5
Auto11.1
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 7.3
6868
#22
20.11.1
12.113.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
8595
#30
12.80.7
10.711.4
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End1.8
red by 1.3
334
#43
11.51.1
13.214.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned