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Red68
140524.5
301532.0
379919.3
Blue61
304412.7
319323.4
662115.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801001206861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.2
30.430.7
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 8.6
23.42.0
13.015.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Second
24.50.3
13.413.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
red by 8.8
6621
#21
15.82.0
10.812.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Third
3799
#18
19.30.3
9.29.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 6.6
3044
#44
12.72.0
9.411.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsEarned