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Red31
151118.4
703613.0
395113.3
Blue48
383815.5
56414.0
770915.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060801003148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#29
18.40.7
14.413.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 2.8
3838
#35
15.51.6
11.112.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
3951
#31
13.30.7
11.210.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 1.7
7709
#37
15.01.6
12.113.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
7036
#32
13.00.7
11.811.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
564
#50
14.01.6
10.111.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed