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Red34
63538.7
87023.9
22910.0
Blue51
130811.0
159128.7
552819.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801003451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#12
23.90.7
21.420.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.4
blue by 4.7
1591
#10
28.70.5
19.018.5
Auto11.9
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Second
229
#41
10.00.7
12.211.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 9.9
5528
#23
19.90.3
19.719.4
Auto8.8
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Third
6353
#52
8.70.7
6.96.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 2.3
1308
#36
11.00.5
12.111.6
Auto6.4
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed