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Red67
34026.4
318121.2
2716.3
Blue47
19115.4
14504.9
57816.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801006747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
26.41.1
21.822.9
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
red by 10.3
578
#42
16.10.8
12.213.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.0
Second
3181
#16
21.21.2
15.216.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
red by 5.8
191
#26
15.41.3
12.013.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Third
271
#51
6.31.7
12.914.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 1.4
1450
#54
4.91.3
6.67.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed